Ranking the rankers

When a host goes out on a limb against the consensus, we track whether the other three come around a week later. Conor leads the standings at 16–11.

Select a host to see their breakdown.

HostRecordWin %Spots gainedSpotsW7 record
Conor 16–11 .593 +27 0–3 Showing ›
Marc 16–11 .593 +21 4–1 Breakdown ›
Dan 16–13 .552 +10 4–2 Breakdown ›
Justin 4–8 .333 −13 1–2 Breakdown ›

Conor's breakdown

16–11 on 27 settled bold calls, +27 spots gained.

Week 7 calls

  • In Week 7, Conor had the Cardinals 22nd (consensus was 26th, 4 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved away to 27th. Loss, 1 spot lost.

  • In Week 7, Conor had the Panthers 13th (consensus was 17th, 4 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved away to 20th. Loss, 3 spots lost.

  • In Week 7, Conor had the Packers 4th (consensus was 8th, 4 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved away to 12th. Loss, 4 spots lost.

Season highlights

  • Best call. In Week 1, Conor had the Jaguars 8th (consensus was 13th, 5 spots away). In Week 2, the consensus moved to 9th. Win, 4 spots gained.

  • Worst overreaction. In Week 7, Conor had the Packers 4th (consensus was 8th, 4 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved away to 12th. Loss, 4 spots lost.

All 27 of Conor's settled bold calls
WeekTeamConorConsensusNext week's consensusResultSpots
Week 1 Patriots 12 8 14 Win +2
Week 1 Bengals 7 13 13 Loss 0
Week 1 Jaguars 8 13 9 Win +4
Week 1 49ers 17 11 8 Loss −3
Week 1 Commanders 18 22 21 Win +1
Week 2 Chiefs 5 9 4 Win +3
Week 2 Eagles 12 7 7 Loss 0
Week 2 Saints 20 24 18 Win +2
Week 2 Steelers 27 23 27 Win +4
Week 2 Colts 23 28 22 Win +4
Week 3 Lions 18 13 12 Loss −1
Week 3 Saints 14 18 18 Loss 0
Week 3 Colts 16 22 19 Win +3
Week 3 Buccaneers 27 23 30 Win +1
Week 4 Raiders 9 14 10 Win +4
Week 4 Cowboys 19 14 12 Loss −2
Week 4 Colts 15 19 20 Loss −1
Week 4 Texans 16 20 21 Loss −1
Week 4 Jets 25 21 27 Win +2
Week 4 Packers 22 28 25 Win +3
Week 5 Eagles 19 15 20 Win +3
Week 5 Falcons 24 17 19 Win +2
Week 6 Panthers 20 16 17 Win +1
Week 6 Cowboys 23 17 21 Win +4
Week 7 Packers 4 8 12 Loss −4
Week 7 Panthers 13 17 20 Loss −3
Week 7 Cardinals 22 26 27 Loss −1

Spots gained, week by week

Cumulative net spots gained from settled bold calls over the season.

−20−10010203040StartW2W3W4W5W6W7W8Conor +27Marc +21Dan +10Justin −13

Open calls for Week 9

These settle when the Week 9 rankings come out.

How scoring works

Here's how a call is scored, start to finish: Marc and the Chargers in Week 2.

1Find the consensus

Dan15
Conor17
Justin15
Average
16Consensus
vs
Marc24

Average the other three hosts: (15 + 17 + 15) ÷ 3 = 15.7, rounded to 16. A host's consensus is calculated strictly from the other hosts — never against their own pick.

2Is it a bold call?

18162432Marc24Consensus168 spots apart
1 to 3 spots apart: regular pick4 or more: bold call

Whenever a host ranks a team 4 or more spots away from the consensus, they're going out on a limb. Here, Marc was 8 spots off — a clear bold call.

3Check a week later

WinCalled it
+8spots gained
18162432Marc24Consensus16 → 24

The consensus moved toward Marc (16 → 24).

LossOverreaction
−7spots lost
18162432Marc25Consensus20 → 13

Marc's Patriots in Week 4: consensus moved further away (20 → 13).

Moving at least one spot toward the host is a Win. Staying put or moving further away is a Loss. The large number shows net spots gained or lost.

4Add it up

16Wins
11Losses
.593Win %after 10 calls
+27Spots gainedbreaks ties

Rankings are ordered by Win % (qualifying after 10 calls), with total spots gained as the tiebreaker. Conor currently holds first place!