Ranking the rankers

When a host goes out on a limb against the consensus, we track whether the other three come around a week later. Conor leads the standings at 16–11.

Select a host to see their breakdown.

HostRecordWin %Spots gainedSpotsW7 record
Conor 16–11 .593 +27 0–3 Breakdown ›
Marc 16–11 .593 +21 4–1 Breakdown ›
Dan 16–13 .552 +10 4–2 Breakdown ›
Justin 4–8 .333 −13 1–2 Showing ›

Justin's breakdown

4–8 on 12 settled bold calls, −13 spots gained.

Week 7 calls

  • In Week 7, Justin had the Packers 10th (consensus was 6th, 4 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved to 11th. Win, 3 spots gained.

  • In Week 7, Justin had the Commanders 30th (consensus was 25th, 5 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus stayed at 25th. Loss, no spots either way.

  • In Week 7, Justin had the Saints 21st (consensus was 26th, 5 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved away to 27th. Loss, 1 spot lost.

Season highlights

  • Best call. In Week 2, Justin had the Steelers 27th (consensus was 23rd, 4 spots away). In Week 3, the consensus moved to 28th. Win, 3 spots gained.

  • Worst overreaction. In Week 2, Justin had the Chargers 15th (consensus was 19th, 4 spots away). In Week 3, the consensus moved away to 25th. Loss, 6 spots lost.

All 12 of Justin's settled bold calls
WeekTeamJustinConsensusNext week's consensusResultSpots
Week 1 Jaguars 16 10 9 Loss −1
Week 1 49ers 10 14 7 Win +1
Week 1 Vikings 25 20 15 Loss −5
Week 2 Chiefs 11 7 4 Loss −3
Week 2 Chargers 15 19 25 Loss −6
Week 2 Steelers 27 23 28 Win +3
Week 4 Ravens 5 9 8 Win +1
Week 4 Saints 16 20 24 Loss −4
Week 6 Cowboys 14 20 21 Loss −1
Week 7 Packers 10 6 11 Win +3
Week 7 Saints 21 26 27 Loss −1
Week 7 Commanders 30 25 25 Loss 0

Spots gained, week by week

Cumulative net spots gained from settled bold calls over the season.

−20−10010203040StartW2W3W4W5W6W7W8Conor +27Marc +21Dan +10Justin −13

Open calls for Week 9

These settle when the Week 9 rankings come out.

How scoring works

Here's how a call is scored, start to finish: Marc and the Chargers in Week 2.

1Find the consensus

Dan15
Conor17
Justin15
Average
16Consensus
vs
Marc24

Average the other three hosts: (15 + 17 + 15) ÷ 3 = 15.7, rounded to 16. A host's consensus is calculated strictly from the other hosts — never against their own pick.

2Is it a bold call?

18162432Marc24Consensus168 spots apart
1 to 3 spots apart: regular pick4 or more: bold call

Whenever a host ranks a team 4 or more spots away from the consensus, they're going out on a limb. Here, Marc was 8 spots off — a clear bold call.

3Check a week later

WinCalled it
+8spots gained
18162432Marc24Consensus16 → 24

The consensus moved toward Marc (16 → 24).

LossOverreaction
−7spots lost
18162432Marc25Consensus20 → 13

Marc's Patriots in Week 4: consensus moved further away (20 → 13).

Moving at least one spot toward the host is a Win. Staying put or moving further away is a Loss. The large number shows net spots gained or lost.

4Add it up

16Wins
11Losses
.593Win %after 10 calls
+27Spots gainedbreaks ties

Rankings are ordered by Win % (qualifying after 10 calls), with total spots gained as the tiebreaker. Conor currently holds first place!