Ranking the rankers

When a host goes out on a limb against the consensus, we track whether the other three come around a week later. Conor leads the standings at 16–11.

Select a host to see their breakdown.

HostRecordWin %Spots gainedSpotsW7 record
Conor 16–11 .593 +27 0–3 Breakdown ›
Marc 16–11 .593 +21 4–1 Breakdown ›
Dan 16–13 .552 +10 4–2 Showing ›
Justin 4–8 .333 −13 1–2 Breakdown ›

Dan's breakdown

16–13 on 29 settled bold calls, +10 spots gained.

Week 7 calls

  • In Week 7, Dan had the Rams 8th (consensus was 15th, 7 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved to 12th. Win, 3 spots gained.

  • In Week 7, Dan had the Commanders 22nd (consensus was 28th, 6 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved to 26th. Win, 2 spots gained.

  • In Week 7, Dan had the Broncos 13th (consensus was 8th, 5 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved to 9th. Win, 1 spot gained.

  • In Week 7, Dan had the Cardinals 29th (consensus was 24th, 5 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved to 25th. Win, 1 spot gained.

  • In Week 7, Dan had the Vikings 10th (consensus was 5th, 5 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved away to 4th. Loss, 1 spot lost.

  • In Week 7, Dan had the Browns 21st (consensus was 16th, 5 spots away). In Week 8, the consensus moved away to 15th. Loss, 1 spot lost.

Season highlights

  • Best call. In Week 2, Dan had the Ravens 10th (consensus was 4th, 6 spots away). In Week 3, the consensus moved to 9th. Win, 5 spots gained.

  • Worst overreaction. In Week 1, Dan had the Chargers 9th (consensus was 13th, 4 spots away). In Week 2, the consensus moved away to 19th. Loss, 6 spots lost.

All 29 of Dan's settled bold calls
WeekTeamDanConsensusNext week's consensusResultSpots
Week 1 Ravens 13 7 4 Loss −3
Week 1 Patriots 6 10 13 Loss −3
Week 1 Chargers 9 13 19 Loss −6
Week 1 49ers 10 14 8 Win +2
Week 1 Commanders 18 22 21 Win +1
Week 1 Saints 26 21 22 Win +1
Week 1 Colts 19 24 26 Loss −2
Week 1 Falcons 29 25 29 Win +4
Week 1 Jets 24 28 25 Win +3
Week 2 Ravens 10 4 9 Win +5
Week 2 Rams 3 8 4 Win +4
Week 2 Chiefs 4 9 4 Win +5
Week 2 Chargers 15 19 25 Loss −6
Week 2 Panthers 26 20 18 Loss −2
Week 2 Jets 20 25 23 Win +2
Week 3 Ravens 15 9 7 Loss −2
Week 3 Texans 11 15 19 Loss −4
Week 3 Titans 26 30 31 Loss −1
Week 4 Saints 23 18 24 Win +4
Week 4 Giants 28 23 21 Loss −2
Week 5 Browns 21 15 22 Win +5
Week 5 Falcons 16 20 18 Win +2
Week 6 Cowboys 13 20 22 Loss −2
Week 7 Vikings 10 5 4 Loss −1
Week 7 Broncos 13 8 9 Win +1
Week 7 Rams 8 15 12 Win +3
Week 7 Browns 21 16 15 Loss −1
Week 7 Cardinals 29 24 25 Win +1
Week 7 Commanders 22 28 26 Win +2

Spots gained, week by week

Cumulative net spots gained from settled bold calls over the season.

−20−10010203040StartW2W3W4W5W6W7W8Conor +27Marc +21Dan +10Justin −13

Open calls for Week 9

These settle when the Week 9 rankings come out.

How scoring works

Here's how a call is scored, start to finish: Marc and the Chargers in Week 2.

1Find the consensus

Dan15
Conor17
Justin15
Average
16Consensus
vs
Marc24

Average the other three hosts: (15 + 17 + 15) ÷ 3 = 15.7, rounded to 16. A host's consensus is calculated strictly from the other hosts — never against their own pick.

2Is it a bold call?

18162432Marc24Consensus168 spots apart
1 to 3 spots apart: regular pick4 or more: bold call

Whenever a host ranks a team 4 or more spots away from the consensus, they're going out on a limb. Here, Marc was 8 spots off — a clear bold call.

3Check a week later

WinCalled it
+8spots gained
18162432Marc24Consensus16 → 24

The consensus moved toward Marc (16 → 24).

LossOverreaction
−7spots lost
18162432Marc25Consensus20 → 13

Marc's Patriots in Week 4: consensus moved further away (20 → 13).

Moving at least one spot toward the host is a Win. Staying put or moving further away is a Loss. The large number shows net spots gained or lost.

4Add it up

16Wins
11Losses
.593Win %after 10 calls
+27Spots gainedbreaks ties

Rankings are ordered by Win % (qualifying after 10 calls), with total spots gained as the tiebreaker. Conor currently holds first place!